Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.880913 3.444163 4.073840 4.827810 5.703811 6.687176 7.872228
2025-11-16 2.073753 2.791075 3.677905 4.846083 6.334427 8.156419 10.543395
2025-11-23 1.581657 2.352002 3.387421 4.861408 6.882541 9.530054 13.228259
2025-11-30 1.235340 2.005783 3.119558 4.814038 7.285702 10.710108 15.750786
2025-12-07 0.943963 1.664352 2.778542 4.579737 7.357371 11.402065 17.635766
2025-12-14 0.770496 1.463037 2.600556 4.540155 7.678950 12.448534 20.091365
2025-12-21 0.641156 1.305023 2.458060 4.522592 8.012716 13.522695 22.662830
2025-12-28 0.581924 1.257790 2.489222 4.787408 8.817550 15.385419 26.595990
2026-01-04 0.512977 1.177143 2.445874 4.911633 9.391977 16.919930 30.124389
2026-01-11 0.464404 1.126580 2.447864 5.112551 10.112457 18.746884 34.265082
2026-01-18 0.402163 1.034029 2.353216 5.116924 10.475461 19.989793 37.513398
2026-01-25 0.332975 0.910785 2.176116 4.934573 10.467656 20.576415 39.666715
2026-02-01 0.274555 0.800741 2.010970 4.758272 10.460919 21.181416 41.937312
2026-02-08 0.238981 0.738828 1.940438 4.768502 10.819365 22.483640 45.563330
2026-02-15 0.208789 0.683674 1.875706 4.781185 11.181466 23.818807 49.346159
2026-02-22 0.179693 0.624153 1.789988 4.733769 11.410355 24.911576 52.747730
2026-03-01 0.146256 0.542795 1.635106 4.502743 11.217418 25.152186 54.524525
2026-03-08 0.126518 0.497795 1.565226 4.463688 11.439183 26.239248 58.027221
2026-03-15 0.110425 0.460025 1.507713 4.446368 11.706186 27.436668 61.828419
2026-03-22 0.105846 0.460445 1.556772 4.707206 12.642823 30.106448 68.789279
2026-03-29 0.097086 0.443594 1.553234 4.829573 13.262806 32.143622 74.573730
2026-04-05 0.091295 0.436268 1.576766 5.027501 14.083462 34.672121 81.537904
2026-04-12 0.080969 0.408261 1.532073 5.031809 14.427728 36.175960 86.426870